Wind Nerd | East End Wind, Waves & Tides

Updated 9:04 AM EDT

Today's Conditions

Wind Regime

SYNOPTICSynoptic GradientMED

A large-scale pressure system is driving the wind today, not local heating. Conditions will be more persistent and less tied to the time of day — the wind can be strong in the morning and hold through the evening. Direction follows the pressure gradient, not the coastline. The forecast leans on ECMWF, GFS, and WeatherNext 2, which handle large-scale patterns well. Synoptic days often show tighter model agreement, though the actual spread below tells you whether that holds today.

Session-window spread is moderate (±2.2kt avg, 7am–7pm). Peak range 8kt at 9am. Treat timing as approximate.

Sea Temperature

Inshore (MUR satellite)

60.7 °F

-0.2°F vs avg

Offshore (NDBC 44017)

60.8 °F

Inshore water is 60.7°F (offshore buoy 44017: 60.8°F). SST anomaly is -0.2°F average — no unusual marine layer effects expected from SST.

Inshore: MUR satellite SST · 40.82°N 72.48°W · ~2 day lag

Wind Forecast

Road G · Multiple models · knots

	26 MondayS															27 TuesdayM																								28 WednesdayM																								29 ThursdayS																								30 FridayS																								31 SaturdayS
Model	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p	8p	9p	10p	11p	12a	1a	2a	3a	4a	5a	6a	7a	8a	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p	8p	9p	10p	11p	12a	1a	2a	3a	4a	5a	6a	7a	8a	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p	8p	9p	10p	11p	12a	1a	2a	3a	4a	5a	6a	7a	8a	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p	8p	9p	10p	11p	12a	1a	2a	3a	4a	5a	6a	7a	8a	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p	8p	9p	10p	11p	12a	1a	2a	3a	4a	5a	6a	7a	8a	9a	10a	11a	12p	1p	2p	3p	4p	5p	6p	7p
ENSEMBLE WindNerd blended	813	812	812	813	712	711	711	711	611	711	710	714	915	917	1018	1019	1020	1019	1018	1018	1118	1117	1016	914	713	611	510	48	36	25	25	24	24	25	36	35	35	34	34	33	33	34	34	34	24	15	35	46	47	58	69	69	69	58	68	69	69	69	69	610	69	610	610	710	610	711	611	711	711	913	1014	1116	1117	1218	1219	1219	1119	1120	1220	1221	1221	1221	1221	1222	1222	1221	1120	1121	1121	1120	1120	1120	1119	1018	1017	916	915	914	914	915	1016	915	914	814	714	816	916	1016	915	915	916	917	917	815	813	711	711	711	611	511	511	610	610	59	58	58	58	58	58	58	58
ECMWF 9km	1215	1215	1215	1115	1115	1014	913	913	912	912	1012	1012	1013	1115	1317	1419	1520	1520	1520	1420	1420	1421	1320	1219	1017	814	712	511	49	47	36	36	36	36	46	46	36	36	36	36	36	36	35	25	16	36	47	57	58	69	69	710	710	711	811	812	811	811	811	710	710	710	710	710	711	710	710	79	710	811	912	1114	1215	1317	1318	1318	1319	1320	1321	1322	1322	1323	1423	1422	1421	1420	1420	1320	1320	1220	1221	1120	1119	1118	1016	1014	1012	1111	1111	1111	1012	1012	1012	913	814	815	915	1015	1014	1014	1015	917	917	815	711	68	68	59	410	111	312	612	813	913	1013	913	812	711	711	712	712
GFS 22km	710	710	610	611	613	69	711	712	512	511	610	617	818	822	921	920	820	819	818	818	1017	1014	911	89	67	67	56	45	45	35	15	15	25	25	48	36	45	44	42	41	42	32	32	32	22	03	23	34	44	65	66	66	66	66	67	79	69	610	710	712	810	814	712	812	712	813	814	815	814	1014	1114	1215	1217	1218	1219	1219	1120	1221	1323	1324	1425	1425	1524	1526	1427	1326	1325	1325	1326	1426	1526	1526	1525	1423	1322	1120	1120	1119	1019	1121	1322	1220	1120	919	919	1124	1322	1322	1222	1121	1121	1120	1219	1118	1116	1015	1014	1012	1012	911	810	68	56	33	12	12	23	35	45	56	57
ICON 13km	613	513	512	512	411	49	48	48	37	36	35	47	511	613	613	715	919	819	716	716	817	817	718	716	615	413	311	28	15	12	23	23	33	33	33	23	23	22	22	12	11	23	34	45	36	37	27	49	410	511	411	410	410	38	35	35	35	35	35	35	36	25	35	35	36	36	37	37	410	614	817	819	920	920	920	819	818	817	716	715	714	614	613	513	612	612	512	512	511	410	37	36	37	48	410	410	410	410	49	38	37	37	36	25	24	23	23	22	12	12	48	48	49	49	49	49	511	613	615	615	614	613	513	512	512	410	37	35	24	24	25
METEOBLUE kt	412	512	513	513	411	59	69	610	611	712	713	814	816	917	817	918	919	919	918	1019	1021	1022	922	820	719	617	515	412	29	14	01	12	12	12	12	12	24	36	47	37	36	36	35	35	26	16	27	39	412	513	513	514	513	411	38	46	58	59	58	49	47	47	47	46	67	49	59	58	58	613	717	819	920	921	921	921	720	716	815	815	815	815	916	916	917	917	917	817	816	816	716	715	614	513	513	513	513	513	513	514	514	614	613	612	612	712	713	815	817	918	818	618	517	414	412	39	39	39	39	39	39	210	210	310	511	511	511	511	511	59	58
HRRR 3km	610	69	610	710	610	69	711	713	613	612	610	818	819	822	921	920	820	819	818	818	1017	1014	911	89	67	67	56	45	45	35	15	15	25	25	48	36	45	44	42	41	42	32	32	32	22	03	23	34	44	65	66	66	66	66	67	79	69	610	710	712	810	814	712	812	712	813	814	815	814	1014	1114	1215	1217	1218	1219	1219	1120	1221	1323	1324	1425	1425	1524	1526	1427	1326	1325	1325	1326	1426	1526	1526	1525	1423	1322	1120	1120	1119	1019	1121	1322	1220	1120	919	919	1124	1322	1322	1222	1121	1121	1120	1219	1118	1116	1015	1014	1012	1012	911	810	68	56	33	12	12	23	35	45	56	57